Polymarket
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Sergipe
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Lula at more than 99%, ahead of Flavio Bolsonaro at less than 1%. $83 traded in the last 24 hours, $19K in all.
- Favorite
- Lula >99%
- 24 hours
- up 1 pts
- Traded today
- $83
- Traded in all
- $19K
- Closes
- October 5, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 13)
- Lula>99%▲ 1
- Flavio Bolsonaro<1%
- Clariana Barao<1%
- Ronaldo Caiado<1%
- Edmilson Costa<1%
- Escritor Augusto Cury<1%
7 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%7:12 AM7:12 PM7:12 AM100% Lula
The line follows the current favorite, Lula. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
