Polymarket

Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor No Next Chancellor before 2028 at 69%, ahead of Hendrik Wüst at 14%. $52 traded in the last 24 hours, $73K in all.

Favorite
No Next Chancellor before 2028 69%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$52
Traded in all
$73K
Closes
January 1, 2028

Every outcome (top 6 of 13)

  1. No Next Chancellor before 202869%
  2. Hendrik Wüst14%
  3. Markus Söder7%▲ 1
  4. Alice Weidel4%
  5. Boris Pistorius1%
  6. Lars Klingbeil1%

7 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%7:09 AM7:09 PM7:09 AM69% No Next Chancellor before 2028

The line follows the current favorite, No Next Chancellor before 2028. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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