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On Polymarket, a regulated prediction market (Polymarket). Parlay the People shows its prices; it is research, not betting advice.

Polymarket

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket give it a 5% chance. $138 traded in the last 24 hours, $2.7M in all.

Chance of Yes: 5%
24 hours: no change
Traded today: $138
Traded in all: $2.7M
Closes: January 1, 2027

The odds

Yes5%

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%6:56 AM6:56 PM6:56 AM5% Chance of Yes

The price of a Yes contract, read as the chance the market resolves Yes. One reading an hour.

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