Polymarket
Socialist Party of France Presidential Nominee
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Raphael Glucksmann at 89%, ahead of Olivier Faure at 8%. $468 traded in the last 24 hours, $64K in all.
- Favorite
- Raphael Glucksmann 89%
- 24 hours
- up 1 pts
- Traded today
- $468
- Traded in all
- $64K
- Closes
- October 10, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Raphael Glucksmann89%▲ 1
- Olivier Faure8%▼ 3
- Segolene Royal3%▲ 1
- Boris Vallaud1%
- Francois Hollande1%
- Jérôme Guedj1%
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%7:18 AM7:18 PM7:18 AM89% Raphael Glucksmann
The line follows the current favorite, Raphael Glucksmann. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.