Kalshi
US-Iran nuclear deal?
In 2026
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Before Jan 20, 2029 at 38%, ahead of Before Jan 1, 2028 at 35%. $14K traded in the last 24 hours, $3.1M in all.
- Favorite
- Before Jan 20, 2029 38%
- 24 hours
- down 4 pts
- Traded today
- $14K
- Traded in all
- $3.1M
- Closes
- November 1, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 7)
- Before Jan 20, 202938%▼ 4
- Before Jan 1, 202835%▼ 2
- Before Mar 1, 202721%▼ 5
- Before Feb 1, 202717%▼ 1
- Before Jan 1, 202714%▲ 1
- Before Dec 1, 20268%▼ 1
1 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%6:44 AM6:44 PM6:44 AM38% Before Jan 20, 2029
The line follows the current favorite, Before Jan 20, 2029. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
