Where does this market trade?

On Kalshi, a regulated prediction market. Parlay the People shows its prices; it is research, not betting advice.

Kalshi

When will the EU reach a long-term budget deal?

Before July 2027

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Before Jul 1, 2027 at 58%, ahead of Before Jan 1, 2027 at 28%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $2K in all.

Favorite: Before Jul 1, 2027 58%
24 hours: no change
Traded today: $0
Traded in all: $2K
Closes: January 1, 2027

Every outcome

Before Jul 1, 202758%
Before Jan 1, 202728%

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%7:12 AM7:12 PM7:12 AM58% Before Jul 1, 2027

The line follows the current favorite, Before Jul 1, 2027. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.