Where does this market trade?

On Kalshi, a regulated prediction market. Parlay the People shows its prices; it is research, not betting advice.

Kalshi

Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030?

Before 2030

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Hungary at 5%, ahead of France at 5%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $25K in all.

Favorite: Hungary 5%
24 hours: no change
Traded today: $0
Traded in all: $25K
Closes: January 1, 2030

Every outcome

Hungary5%
France5%
Italy4%
Germany3%
Spain3%
Poland3%

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%7:07 AM7:07 PM7:07 AM5% Hungary

The line follows the current favorite, Hungary. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.