Polymarket

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor John Healey at 14%, ahead of Ed Miliband at 12%. $41 traded in the last 24 hours, $128K in all.

Favorite
John Healey 14%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$41
Traded in all
$128K
Closes
January 1, 2028

Every outcome (top 6 of 22)

  1. John Healey14%
  2. Ed Miliband12%▲ 7
  3. Miatta Fahnbulleh10%
  4. Yvette Cooper10%
  5. Lucy Powell7%
  6. Pat McFadden6%▼ 1

16 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%6:41 AM6:41 PM6:41 AM14% John Healey

The line follows the current favorite, John Healey. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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