Polymarket
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor John Healey at 14%, ahead of Ed Miliband at 12%. $41 traded in the last 24 hours, $128K in all.
- Favorite
- John Healey 14%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $41
- Traded in all
- $128K
- Closes
- January 1, 2028
Every outcome (top 6 of 22)
- John Healey14%
- Ed Miliband12%▲ 7
- Miatta Fahnbulleh10%
- Yvette Cooper10%
- Lucy Powell7%
- Pat McFadden6%▼ 1
16 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%6:41 AM6:41 PM6:41 AM14% John Healey
The line follows the current favorite, John Healey. One reading an hour.
Embed these odds on your site
Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.
See this market on Polymarket →
More world politics markets
- Brazil Presidential ElectionFlávio Bolsonaro 83%
- Brazil Presidential election winner?Flávio Bolsonaro 82%
- Brazil presidential election: first round winner?Flávio Bolsonaro >99%
- Next French Presidential ElectionMarine Le Pen 45%
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Gadi Eizenkot 48%
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?16%
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?March 31 72%
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?October 5 99%
Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.