Where does this market trade?

On Kalshi, a regulated prediction market. Parlay the People shows its prices; it is research, not betting advice.

Kalshi

Will China abolish birth limits?

People's Republic of China

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Before 2030 at 57%, ahead of Before 2029 at 35%. $86 traded in the last 24 hours, $4K in all.

Favorite: Before 2030 57%
24 hours: no change
Traded today: $86
Traded in all: $4K
Closes: January 1, 2027

Every outcome

Before 203057%
Before 202935%
Before 202827%▲ 24
Before 20276%

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%6:40 AM6:40 PM6:40 AM57% Before 2030

The line follows the current favorite, Before 2030. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.