Kalshi
Will the Department of Defense be renamed the Department of War by law in 2026?
Before Jan 1, 2027
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi give it a 40% chance. $2 traded in the last 24 hours, $29K in all.
- Chance of Yes
- 40%
- 24 hours
- down 4 pts
- Traded today
- $2
- Traded in all
- $29K
- Closes
- January 1, 2027
The odds
- Yes40%▼ 4
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%7:19 AM7:19 PM7:19 AM40% Chance of Yes
The price of a Yes contract, read as the chance the market resolves Yes. One reading an hour.
Embed these odds on your site
Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.
More world politics markets
- Brazil Presidential ElectionFlávio Bolsonaro 84%
- Brazil Presidential election winner?Flávio Bolsonaro 83%
- Brazil presidential election: first round winner?Flávio Bolsonaro >99%
- Next French Presidential ElectionMarine Le Pen 45%
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Gadi Eizenkot 48%
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?March 31 72%
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?16%
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?October 5 99%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
