Polymarket

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor June 30, 2027 at 9%, ahead of December 31 at 3%. $5K traded in the last 24 hours, $4.1M in all.

Favorite
June 30, 2027 9%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$5K
Traded in all
$4.1M
Closes
July 1, 2027

Every outcome

  1. June 30, 20279%
  2. December 313%

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%6:39 AM6:39 PM6:39 AM9% June 30, 2027

The line follows the current favorite, June 30, 2027. One reading an hour.

Embed these odds on your site

Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.

See this market on Polymarket →

More world politics markets

Every world politics market →

Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

Data partnerLunarCrushThe Pulse, our social buzz and sentiment data, is powered by LunarCrush. How it works