Polymarket

Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor October 5 at 95%, ahead of October 4 at 94%. $3K traded in the last 24 hours, $5K in all.

Favorite
October 5 95%
24 hours
up 42 pts
Traded today
$3K
Traded in all
$5K
Closes
November 1, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 29)

  1. October 595%▲ 42
  2. October 494%▲ 4
  3. October 852%▲ 6
  4. October 651%▲ 7
  5. October 1051%▼ 3
  6. October 1351%▲ 2

23 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%6:55 AM6:55 PM6:55 AM95% October 5

The line follows the current favorite, October 5. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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