Polymarket
Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor October 5 at 95%, ahead of October 4 at 94%. $3K traded in the last 24 hours, $5K in all.
- Favorite
- October 5 95%
- 24 hours
- up 42 pts
- Traded today
- $3K
- Traded in all
- $5K
- Closes
- November 1, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 29)
- October 595%▲ 42
- October 494%▲ 4
- October 852%▲ 6
- October 651%▲ 7
- October 1051%▼ 3
- October 1351%▲ 2
23 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%6:55 AM6:55 PM6:55 AM95% October 5
The line follows the current favorite, October 5. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.