MS
Mississippi elections
Mississippi has 5 races with live prediction-market odds in 2026, 30 days before Election Day (November 3). Senate: Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) 91%; MS-01 House: Trent Kelly (R) 96%; MS-04 House: Mike Ezell (R) 97%.
2026 races
| Race | Favorite | Rating | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) 91% | Safe R | $379K |
| MS-01 House | Trent Kelly (R) 96% | Safe R | $135K |
| MS-02 House | Bennie Thompson (D) 97% | Safe D | $84K |
| MS-03 House | Michael Guest (R) 99% | Safe R | $65K |
| MS-04 House | Mike Ezell (R) 97% | Safe R | $51K |
2027 races
| Race | Favorite | Rating | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | the Republican 87% | Likely R | $5K |
Key dates
- Election Day 2026Tue, Nov 3, 2026
- Election Day 2027Tue, Nov 2, 2027
How to vote in Mississippi, and how it has voted → · The full election calendar →
Campaign money in 2026
- Senate candidates raised
- $6.9M
- House candidates raised
- $5.2M
- Outside spending
- $4.4M
Every federal candidate running in Mississippi, from FEC filings. Each race page breaks it down by candidate.
Candidates
Other Mississippi markets
- Mississippi Senate margin of victorySmith, 3+ pts 73%
- Mississippi Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)Republican 5-10% 26%
- Closer Senate Race: Minnesota or Mississippi?Minnesota US Senate 68%
- Mississippi Senate election: Scott Colom vote percentAt least 34% 98%
- Mississippi Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)800K-900K 49%
- Mississippi Senate election: Ty Pinkins vote percentAt least 1% 88%
- Closer Senate Race: Minnesota or Mississippi?65%
- Mississippi's 2nd District margin of victoryThompson, 15+ pts 91%
- Mississippi Senate General Election: voter turnoutAbove 890K 40%
- Mississippi Senate election: Cindy Hyde-Smith vote percentAt least 46% 94%
- Mississippi's 1st District margin of victoryKelly, 18+ pts 94%
- Mississippi's 3rd District margin of victoryGuest, 11+ pts 92%
Odds from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes; campaign money from the FEC, daily. Research, not betting advice.
