Daily market report

Election markets on Saturday, May 16, 2026

Republicans ended the day 55% to win the Senate (Democratic odds up 0.6 points); Democrats ended the day 76% to win the House; the biggest move was UT-02 (Utah), where Democratic odds went from 47% to 21%; 1 race changed favorites.

Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days

Pro · archive

Every daily report since the archive began

Free readers get the last 7 days of market reports. Pro opens the full archive: every move, lead change and dollar, day by day.

Data partnerLunarCrushThe Pulse, our social buzz and sentiment data, is powered by LunarCrush. How it works