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Oregon elections
Oregon has 8 races with live prediction-market odds in 2026, 30 days before Election Day (November 3). Senate: Jeff Merkley (D) 98%; Governor: Tina Kotek (D) 75%; OR-04 House: Val Hoyle (D) 94%.
2026 races
| Race | Favorite | Rating | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | Jeff Merkley (D) 98% | Safe D | $19K |
| Governor | Tina Kotek (D) 75% | Likely D | $347K |
| OR-01 House | Suzanne Bonamici (D) 98% | Safe D | $28K |
| OR-02 House | Cliff Bentz (R) 95% | Safe R | $14K |
| OR-03 House | Maxine Dexter (D) 96% | Safe D | $21K |
| OR-04 House | Val Hoyle (D) 94% | Safe D | $28K |
| OR-05 House | Janelle Bynum (D) 98% | Safe D | $29K |
| OR-06 House | Andrea Salinas (D) 98% | Safe D | $68K |
2028 races
| Race | Favorite | Rating | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | the Democrat 93% | Safe D | $1K |
Key dates
- Election Day 2026Tue, Nov 3, 2026
How to vote in Oregon, and how it has voted → · The full election calendar →
Campaign money in 2026
- Senate candidates raised
- $4.7M
- House candidates raised
- $11.0M
- Outside spending
- $653K
Every federal candidate running in Oregon, from FEC filings. Each race page breaks it down by candidate.
Candidates
Other Oregon markets
- Oregon Senate Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 30-35% 28%
- Oregon Senate Election: Turnout1.9M-2M 33%
- Oregon Governor margin of victoryKotek, 2+ pts 67%
- Oregon Governor Election Margin of VictoryKotek 6-9% 17%
- Oregon's 5th District margin of victoryBynum, 3+ pts 93%
- Oregon's 3rd District margin of victoryDexter, 38+ pts 97%
- Oregon's 1st District margin of victoryBonamici, 33+ pts 95%
- Oregon's 6th District margin of victorySalinas, 7+ pts 96%
- Oregon's 4th District margin of victoryHoyle, 6+ pts 92%
- Oregon 01 House General Election: voter turnoutAbove 280K 65%
- Oregon 03 House General Election: voter turnoutAbove 280K 55%
- Oregon Governor election: Christine Drazan vote percentAt least 36% 98%
Odds from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes; campaign money from the FEC, daily. Research, not betting advice.
