Daily market report · so far today

Election markets on Tuesday, October 6, 2026

Democrats ended the day 65% to win the Senate and 92% to win the House; the biggest move was FL-27 (Florida), where Democratic odds went from 37% to 35%; $69K traded on 2026 races.

Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days · updates through the day

House controlD 92% · R 8%Democratic odds ▼ 0.1 pts on the daySenate controlD 65% · R 35%Democratic odds unchanged on the day

Biggest moves

RaceStart of dayEnd of dayChange (D)
FL-27 (Florida)D 37%D 35%▼ 1.8
CO-05 (Colorado)D 27%D 26%▼ 1.0

Where the money went

$69K traded on 2026 races across 670 trades.

Biggest single trades

  • 2028-pres-nomD: No Gavin Newsom at 13¢, 9:19 PM ET$13K
  • House control: Yes Republican Party at 9¢, 8:07 PM ET$9K
  • House control: Yes Republican Party at 9¢, 8:07 PM ET$5K
  • 2028-pres-nomD: Yes Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 14¢, 8:06 PM ET$4K
  • House control: Yes Republican Party at 9¢, 8:07 PM ET$3K
  • House control: No Democratic Party at 92¢, 9:16 PM ET$3K

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