AK
Alaska elections
Alaska has 3 races with live prediction-market odds in 2026, 30 days before Election Day (November 3). Senate: Mary Peltola (D) 73%; Governor: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D) 77%; AK-AL House: the Republican 85%.
2026 races
| Race | Favorite | Rating | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | Mary Peltola (D) 73% | Lean D | $3.5M |
| Governor | Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D) 77% | Likely D | $2.1M |
| AK-AL House | the Republican 85% | Likely R | $124K |
2028 races
| Race | Favorite | Rating | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | the Republican 75% | Lean R | $3K |
Key dates
- Election Day 2026Tue, Nov 3, 2026
How to vote in Alaska, and how it has voted → · The full election calendar →
Ballot measures
- Ballot Measure 3 (2026)86% pass
- Ballot Measure 2 (2026)42% pass
- Banning noncitizens from voting (2026)85% pass
- Repealing ranked choice voting (2026)32% pass
The chance each measure passes, from Kalshi and Polymarket.
Campaign money in 2026
- Senate candidates raised
- $27.7M
- House candidates raised
- $7.0M
- Outside spending
- $50.3M
Every federal candidate running in Alaska, from FEC filings. Each race page breaks it down by candidate.
Candidates
- Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins D
- Mary Peltola D
- Dan Sullivan R
- Bernadette Wilson R
- Bill Hill I
- Dave Bronson R
- Treg Taylor R
- Tom Begich D
- Jim McDermott
- Bill Walker I
- Lesil McGuire R
- James Parkin
- Shelley Hughes R
- Click Bishop R
- Adam Crum R
- Matt Heilala R
- Edna DeVries R
- Matthew Claman D
- Lisa Murkowski R
- Hank Kroll
- Bruce Walden
- Gregg Brelsford
- Jessica Faircloth
- Destry J. Payne Sr.
- Nancy Dahlstrom R
- Ann Diener
- Dustin Darden
- Richard Grayson
- David Leslie
Other Alaska markets
- Alaska Senate Election WinnerMary Peltola 73%
- Alaska Senate winner? (Person)Mary Peltola 74%
- Alaska Governor-Senate comboDemocrats sweep 65%
- Alaska Governor winner? (Party)Democratic party 75%
- Alaska Senate and Governor ComboDems sweep 68%
- Alaska passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?85%
- Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)290K-305K 28%
- Alaska House, Governor & Senate comboDemocrats win Governor & Senate; Republican wins House 52%
- Alaska Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)Peltola 0-3% 31%
- Which ballot measures will pass in Alaska?Ballot Measure 3 86%
- Alaska Senate election margin of victoryMary Peltola, 0-3% 21%
- Alaska Senate election: number of rounds3 40%
Odds from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes; campaign money from the FEC, daily. Research, not betting advice.
