UT
Utah elections
Utah has 4 races with live prediction-market odds in 2026, 30 days before Election Day (November 3). UT-04 House: Mike Kennedy (R) 95%; UT-02 House: Blake Moore (R) 96%; UT-01 House: Ben McAdams (D) 96%.
2026 races
| Race | Favorite | Rating | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|
| UT-01 House | Ben McAdams (D) 96% | Safe D | $60K |
| UT-02 House | Blake Moore (R) 96% | Safe R | $34K |
| UT-03 House | Celeste Maloy (R) 96% | Safe R | $22K |
| UT-04 House | Mike Kennedy (R) 95% | Safe R | $55K |
2028 races
Key dates
- Election Day 2026Tue, Nov 3, 2026
How to vote in Utah, and how it has voted → · The full election calendar →
Ballot measures
- Tax-Raising Initiative Supermajority Amendment (2026)66% pass
- Constitutional Amendment Publication Amendment (2026)74% pass
The chance each measure passes, from Kalshi.
Campaign money in 2026
- House candidates raised
- $10.3M
- Outside spending
- $5.1M
Every federal candidate running in Utah, from FEC filings. Each race page breaks it down by candidate.
Candidates
Other Utah markets
- How many House seats will Democrats win in Utah?1 97%
- Which ballot measures will pass in Utah?Constitutional Amendment Publication 74%
- Utah's 1st District margin of victoryMcAdams, 14+ pts 97%
- Utah's 3rd District margin of victoryMaloy, 25+ pts 85%
- Will Kevin O'Leary's Utah Data Center project break ground in 2026?4%
- Utah's 2nd District margin of victoryMoore, 12+ pts 76%
- Utah's 4th District margin of victoryKennedy, 13+ pts 83%
- Utah 03 House General Election: voter turnoutAbove 250K 79%
- Utah 02 House General Election: voter turnoutAbove 270K 50%
- Utah 01 House General Election: voter turnoutAbove 260K 31%
- Utah 04 House General Election: voter turnoutAbove 250K 86%
Odds from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes; campaign money from the FEC, daily. Research, not betting advice.
