AR
Arkansas elections
Arkansas has 6 races with live prediction-market odds in 2026, 30 days before Election Day (November 3). Senate: Tom Cotton (R) 93%; Governor: Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 97%; AR-02 House: French Hill (R) 84%.
2026 races
| Race | Favorite | Rating | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | Tom Cotton (R) 93% | Safe R | $220K |
| Governor | Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 97% | Safe R | $18K |
| AR-01 House | Rick Crawford (R) 98% | Safe R | $49K |
| AR-02 House | French Hill (R) 84% | Likely R | $39K |
| AR-03 House | Steve Womack (R) 97% | Safe R | $31K |
| AR-04 House | Bruce Westerman (R) 97% | Safe R | $29K |
2028 races
| Race | Favorite | Rating | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | the Republican 93% | Safe R | $1K |
Key dates
- Election Day 2026Tue, Nov 3, 2026
How to vote in Arkansas, and how it has voted → · The full election calendar →
Ballot measures
- Right to Keep and Bear Arms Amendment (2026)96% pass
- Water Infrastructure Bond Question (2026)90% pass
- Citizens Only Voting Amendment (2026)98% pass
- Economic Development Districts Amendment (2026)77% pass
- Banning noncitizens from voting (2026)92% pass
The chance each measure passes, from Kalshi and Polymarket.
Campaign money in 2026
- Senate candidates raised
- $8.7M
- House candidates raised
- $11.4M
- Outside spending
- $4.9M
Every federal candidate running in Arkansas, from FEC filings. Each race page breaks it down by candidate.
Candidates
Other Arkansas markets
- Arkansas Senate Election: Turnout1.05M+ 31%
- Arkansas's 3rd District margin of victoryWomack, 10+ pts 89%
- Arkansas Senate Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 10-15% 30%
- Arkansas Governor Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 15-20% 33%
- Will Arkansas's crypto mining ownership ban survive appeal?48%
- Which ballot measures will pass in Arkansas?Citizens Only Voting Amendment 98%
- Arkansas Attorney General winner?Tim Griffin 99%
- Arkansas Governor election: Sarah Huckabee Sanders vote percentAt least 52% 90%
- Arkansas Governor margin of victorySanders, 10+ pts 86%
- Arkansas Governor election: Fredrick Love vote percentAt least 32% 93%
- Arkansas Senate margin of victoryCotton, 2+ pts 92%
- Arkansas's 4th District margin of victoryWesterman, 24+ pts 91%
Odds from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes; campaign money from the FEC, daily. Research, not betting advice.
