ID
Idaho elections
Idaho has 4 races with live prediction-market odds in 2026, 30 days before Election Day (November 3). Senate: Jim Risch (R) 94%; Governor: Brad Little (R) 98%; ID-02 House: Mike Simpson (R) 95%.
2026 races
| Race | Favorite | Rating | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | Jim Risch (R) 94% | Safe R | $412K |
| Governor | Brad Little (R) 98% | Safe R | $34K |
| ID-01 House | Russ Fulcher (R) 96% | Safe R | $49K |
| ID-02 House | Mike Simpson (R) 95% | Safe R | $43K |
2028 races
| Race | Favorite | Rating | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | the Republican 88% | Likely R | $3K |
Key dates
- Election Day 2026Tue, Nov 3, 2026
How to vote in Idaho, and how it has voted → · The full election calendar →
Ballot measures
- Drug Legalization Authority Amendment (2026)3% pass
- English as Official State Language Amendment (2026)93% pass
- Legalizing abortion (2026)59% pass
- Reproductive Freedom and Privacy Act (2026)45% pass
- Official State Gun Question (2026)0% pass
The chance each measure passes, from Kalshi and Polymarket.
Campaign money in 2026
- Senate candidates raised
- $4.3M
- House candidates raised
- $2.3M
Every federal candidate running in Idaho, from FEC filings. Each race page breaks it down by candidate.
Candidates
Other Idaho markets
- Idaho Attorney General winner?Raúl Labrador 95%
- Idaho Senate margin of victoryRisch, 19+ pts 31%
- Idaho Governor Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 25-30% 30%
- Idaho Senate Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 15-20% 23%
- Idaho Senate election: Jim Risch vote percentAt least 50% 69%
- Idaho Governor election: Brad Little vote percentAt least 50% 97%
- Idaho Governor margin of victoryLittle, 18+ pts 82%
- Which ballot measures will pass in Idaho?English as Official State Language Amendment 93%
- What will Idaho voters choose as their state gun?Winchester Model 1873 54%
- Idaho Senate election: Todd Achilles vote percentAt least 30% 97%
- Idaho Senate Election: Turnout600K-640K 34%
- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?59%
Odds from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes; campaign money from the FEC, daily. Research, not betting advice.
