IN
Indiana elections
Indiana has 9 races with live prediction-market odds in 2026, 30 days before Election Day (November 3). IN-05 House: Victoria Spartz (R) 84%; IN-09 House: Erin Houchin (R) 94%; IN-04 House: Jim Baird (R) 94%.
2026 races
| Race | Favorite | Rating | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|
| IN-01 House | Frank Mrvan (D) 98% | Safe D | $52K |
| IN-02 House | Rudy Yakym (R) 97% | Safe R | $37K |
| IN-03 House | Marlin Stutzman (R) 94% | Safe R | $27K |
| IN-04 House | Jim Baird (R) 94% | Safe R | $32K |
| IN-05 House | Victoria Spartz (R) 84% | Likely R | $49K |
| IN-06 House | Jefferson Shreve (R) 95% | Safe R | $40K |
| IN-07 House | André Carson (D) 99% | Safe D | $67K |
| IN-08 House | Mark Messmer (R) 96% | Safe R | $49K |
| IN-09 House | Erin Houchin (R) 94% | Safe R | $41K |
2028 races
Key dates
- Election Day 2026Tue, Nov 3, 2026
How to vote in Indiana, and how it has voted → · The full election calendar →
Ballot measures
- Public Question 1 (2026)86% pass
- Public Question 2 (2026)80% pass
The chance each measure passes, from Kalshi.
Campaign money in 2026
- House candidates raised
- $22.2M
- Outside spending
- $989K
Every federal candidate running in Indiana, from FEC filings. Each race page breaks it down by candidate.
Candidates
Other Indiana markets
- Indiana Secretary of State winner?Beau Bayh 56%
- Indiana Secretary of State Election WinnerBeau Bayh (D) 56%
- Which ballot measures will pass in Indiana?Public Question 1 86%
- Indiana's 5th District margin of victorySpartz, 1+ pts 80%
- Indiana's 2nd District margin of victoryYakym, 10+ pts 86%
- Indiana's 1st District margin of victoryMrvan, 3+ pts 88%
- Indiana's 3rd District margin of victoryStutzman, 14+ pts 92%
- Indiana's 7th District margin of victoryCarson, 34+ pts 95%
- Indiana's 4th District margin of victoryBaird, 13+ pts 92%
- Indiana 05 House General Election: voter turnoutAbove 220K 66%
- Indiana's 9th District margin of victoryHouchin, 12+ pts 88%
- Indiana's 8th District margin of victoryMessmer, 17+ pts 92%
Odds from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes; campaign money from the FEC, daily. Research, not betting advice.
