NM
New Mexico elections
New Mexico has 5 races with live prediction-market odds in 2026, 30 days before Election Day (November 3). Senate: Ben Ray Luján (D) 98%; Governor: Deb Haaland (D) 95%; NM-02 House: Gabe Vasquez (D) 94%.
2026 races
| Race | Favorite | Rating | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | Ben Ray Luján (D) 98% | Safe D | $63K |
| Governor | Deb Haaland (D) 95% | Safe D | $118K |
| NM-01 House | Melanie Stansbury (D) 98% | Safe D | $49K |
| NM-02 House | Gabe Vasquez (D) 94% | Safe D | $104K |
| NM-03 House | Teresa Leger Fernández (D) 97% | Safe D | $59K |
Key dates
- Election Day 2026Tue, Nov 3, 2026
How to vote in New Mexico, and how it has voted → · The full election calendar →
Ballot measures
- Library Bond (2026)90% pass
- Senior Citizen Facilities Bond (2026)97% pass
- Legislative Salaries Amendment (2026)43% pass
- Pocket Veto Amendment (2026)72% pass
- Regents Selection Amendment (2026)74% pass
- School Election Dates Amendment (2026)71% pass
- Higher Education Bond (2026)85% pass
The chance each measure passes, from Kalshi.
Campaign money in 2026
- Senate candidates raised
- $5.7M
- House candidates raised
- $8.7M
- Outside spending
- $2.3M
Every federal candidate running in New Mexico, from FEC filings. Each race page breaks it down by candidate.
Candidates
Other New Mexico markets
- New Mexico Governor margin of victoryHaaland, 1+ pts 92%
- New Mexico Senate Election: Turnout650K-700K 35%
- New Mexico Senate Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 21%+ 41%
- New Mexico Governor Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 10-15% 36%
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by...?3%
- Which ballot measures will pass in New Mexico?Senior Citizen Facilities Bond 97%
- New Mexico's 2nd District margin of victoryVasquez, 1+ pts 84%
- New Mexico Senate margin of victoryLuján, 9+ pts 92%
- New Mexico Attorney General winner?Raúl Torrez 95%
- New Mexico Governor election: Gregg Hull vote percentAt least 36% 92%
- New Mexico Governor election: Deb Haaland vote percentAt least 46% 96%
- New Mexico's 3rd District margin of victoryFernández, 6+ pts 89%
Odds from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes; campaign money from the FEC, daily. Research, not betting advice.
