AL
Alabama elections
Alabama has 9 races with live prediction-market odds in 2026, 30 days before Election Day (November 3). Senate: Barry Moore (R) 98%; Governor: Tommy Tuberville (R) 93%; AL-02 House: Rhett Marques (R) 75%.
2026 races
| Race | Favorite | Rating | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | Barry Moore (R) 98% | Safe R | $25K |
| Governor | Tommy Tuberville (R) 93% | Safe R | $152K |
| AL-01 House | Jerry Carl (R) 96% | Safe R | $51K |
| AL-02 House | Rhett Marques (R) 75% | Lean R | $209K |
| AL-03 House | Mike Rogers (R) 99% | Safe R | $60K |
| AL-04 House | Robert Aderholt (R) 99% | Safe R | $40K |
| AL-05 House | Dale Strong (R) 95% | Safe R | $72K |
| AL-06 House | Gary Palmer (R) 97% | Safe R | $29K |
| AL-07 House | Terri Sewell (D) 99% | Safe D | $107K |
2028 races
| Race | Favorite | Rating | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | the Republican 95% | Safe R | $264 |
Key dates
- Election Day 2026Tue, Nov 3, 2026
How to vote in Alabama, and how it has voted → · The full election calendar →
Ballot measures
- Amendment 3 (2026)96% pass
- Amendment 2 (2026)67% pass
- Amendment 1 (2026)74% pass
- Amendment 4 (2026)78% pass
The chance each measure passes, from Kalshi.
Campaign money in 2026
- Senate candidates raised
- $11.5M
- House candidates raised
- $18.8M
- Outside spending
- $27.8M
Every federal candidate running in Alabama, from FEC filings. Each race page breaks it down by candidate.
Candidates
Other Alabama markets
- Alabama Senate Election: Turnout1.5M-1.6M 28%
- Will Alabama cut its state grocery tax again?42%
- Alabama Senate Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 15-20% 25%
- Alabama Senate margin of victoryMoore, 19+ pts 95%
- Which ballot measures will pass in Alabama?Amendment 3 96%
- Alabama's 5th District margin of victoryStrong, 10+ pts 81%
- How many House seats will Democrats win in Alabama?1 71%
- Alabama's 1st District margin of victoryCarl, 33+ pts 42%
- How many House seats will the Democrats win in Alabama?1 71%
- Alabama Governor Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 10-15% 37%
- Alabama's 7th District margin of victorySewell, 21+ pts 66%
- Alabama Governor General Election: voter turnoutAbove 1.42M 79%
Odds from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes; campaign money from the FEC, daily. Research, not betting advice.
