MO
Missouri elections
Missouri has 8 races with live prediction-market odds in 2026, 30 days before Election Day (November 3). MO-02 House: Ann Wagner (R) 74%; MO-04 House: Mark Alford (R) 95%; MO-03 House: Bob Onder (R) 95%.
2026 races
| Race | Favorite | Rating | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|
| MO-01 House | Wesley Bell (D) 98% | Safe D | $39K |
| MO-02 House | Ann Wagner (R) 74% | Lean R | $98K |
| MO-03 House | Bob Onder (R) 95% | Safe R | $41K |
| MO-04 House | Mark Alford (R) 95% | Safe R | $60K |
| MO-05 House | Emanuel Cleaver (D) 96% | Safe D | $238K |
| MO-06 House | Chris Stigall (R) 95% | Safe R | $59K |
| MO-07 House | Eric Burlison (R) 97% | Safe R | $40K |
| MO-08 House | Jason Smith (R) 98% | Safe R | $46K |
2028 races
Key dates
- Election Day 2026Tue, Nov 3, 2026
How to vote in Missouri, and how it has voted → · The full election calendar →
Ballot measures
- Amendment 7 (2026)28% pass
- Abortion & sex change for minors ban (2026)48% pass
- Amendment 8 (2026)70% pass
- To redistrict (2026)28% pass
The chance each measure passes, from Kalshi and Polymarket.
Campaign money in 2026
- House candidates raised
- $27.6M
- Outside spending
- $10.8M
Every federal candidate running in Missouri, from FEC filings. Each race page breaks it down by candidate.
Candidates
Other Missouri markets
- Missouri's 1st District margin of victoryDemocrats, 49+ pts 89%
- Will SCOTUS permit Missouri's HB 1 House map?3%
- Missouri State Senate District 8 winner?Jon Patterson 71%
- Missouri's 5th District margin of victoryRepublicans, 3+ pts 7%
- Will Missouri approve HB 1’s congressional map?45%
- Missouri's 4th District margin of victoryRepublicans, 5+ pts 95%
- Missouri's 5th District margin of victoryDemocrats, 6+ pts 94%
- Missouri's 2nd District margin of victoryRepublicans, 3+ pts 54%
- Which ballot measures will pass in Missouri?Amendment 8 70%
- Missouri's 6th District margin of victoryRepublicans, 9+ pts 92%
- Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?48%
- Missouri's 3rd District margin of victoryRepublicans, 5+ pts 92%
Odds from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes; campaign money from the FEC, daily. Research, not betting advice.
