OK
Oklahoma elections
Oklahoma has 7 races with live prediction-market odds in 2026, 30 days before Election Day (November 3). Senate: Kevin Hern (R) 98%; Governor: Mike Mazzei (R) 92%; OK-05 House: Stephanie Bice (R) 88%.
2026 races
| Race | Favorite | Rating | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | Kevin Hern (R) 98% | Safe R | $67K |
| Governor | Mike Mazzei (R) 92% | Safe R | $177K |
| OK-01 House | Mark Tedford (R) 95% | Safe R | $42K |
| OK-02 House | Josh Brecheen (R) 98% | Safe R | $35K |
| OK-03 House | Frank Lucas (R) 99% | Safe R | $119K |
| OK-04 House | Tom Cole (R) 98% | Safe R | $38K |
| OK-05 House | Stephanie Bice (R) 88% | Likely R | $37K |
2028 races
| Race | Favorite | Rating | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | the Republican 91% | Safe R | $2K |
Key dates
- Election Day 2026Tue, Nov 3, 2026
How to vote in Oklahoma, and how it has voted → · The full election calendar →
Ballot measures
- State Question 845 (2026)49% pass
- State Question 847 (2026)51% pass
The chance each measure passes, from Kalshi.
Campaign money in 2026
- Senate candidates raised
- $13.7M
- House candidates raised
- $15.5M
- Outside spending
- $3.7M
Every federal candidate running in Oklahoma, from FEC filings. Each race page breaks it down by candidate.
Candidates
Other Oklahoma markets
- Oklahoma Governor election: Mike Mazzei vote percentAt least 52% 64%
- Oklahoma Governor election: Cyndi Munson vote percentAt least 30% 98%
- Oklahoma Senate Election: Turnout1.1M-1.2M 40%
- Oklahoma Governor Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 15-20% 25%
- Oklahoma Senate Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 25-30% 31%
- Oklahoma's 5th District margin of victoryBice, 2+ pts 80%
- Oklahoma Attorney General winner?Jon Echols 96%
- Which ballot measures will pass in Oklahoma?State Question 847 51%
- Oklahoma Governor margin of victoryMazzei, 10+ pts 59%
- Oklahoma's 2nd District margin of victoryBrecheen, 31+ pts 93%
- Oklahoma's 1st District margin of victoryTedford, 3+ pts 83%
- Oklahoma's 3rd District margin of victoryLucas, 24+ pts 93%
Odds from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes; campaign money from the FEC, daily. Research, not betting advice.
