KY
Kentucky elections
Kentucky has 7 races with live prediction-market odds in 2026, 30 days before Election Day (November 3). Senate: Andy Barr (R) 97%; KY-06 House: Ralph Alvarado (R) 73%; KY-02 House: Brett Guthrie (R) 96%.
2026 races
| Race | Favorite | Rating | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | Andy Barr (R) 97% | Safe R | $218K |
| KY-01 House | James Comer (R) 96% | Safe R | $55K |
| KY-02 House | Brett Guthrie (R) 96% | Safe R | $21K |
| KY-03 House | Morgan McGarvey (D) 97% | Safe D | $49K |
| KY-04 House | Ed Gallrein (R) 97% | Safe R | $88K |
| KY-05 House | Hal Rogers (R) 97% | Safe R | $69K |
| KY-06 House | Ralph Alvarado (R) 73% | Lean R | $86K |
2027 races
| Race | Favorite | Rating | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | the Republican 81% | Likely R | $38K |
Key dates
- Election Day 2026Tue, Nov 3, 2026
- Election Day 2027Tue, Nov 2, 2027
How to vote in Kentucky, and how it has voted → · The full election calendar →
Ballot measures
The chance each measure passes, from Kalshi.
Campaign money in 2026
- Senate candidates raised
- $26.2M
- House candidates raised
- $43.2M
- Outside spending
- $67.3M
Every federal candidate running in Kentucky, from FEC filings. Each race page breaks it down by candidate.
Candidates
Other Kentucky markets
- Kentucky Senate Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 10-15% 27%
- Will Kentucky vote to limit gubernatorial election-period pardons?92%
- Kentucky Senate Election: Turnout1.6M-1.7M 28%
- Kentucky's 2nd District margin of victoryGuthrie, 24+ pts 93%
- Kentucky 03 House General Election: voter turnoutAbove 240K 69%
- Kentucky Senate election: Andy Barr vote percentAt least 54% 86%
- Kentucky's 4th District margin of victoryGallrein, 18+ pts 82%
- Kentucky's 6th District margin of victory18%
- Kentucky's 6th District margin of victoryAlvarado, 3+ pts 58%
- Kentucky's 5th District margin of victoryRogers, 42+ pts 89%
- Kentucky's 3rd District margin of victoryMcGarvey, 17+ pts 94%
- Kentucky Governor Election Winner (2027)Republican 82%
Odds from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes; campaign money from the FEC, daily. Research, not betting advice.
