MD
Maryland elections
Maryland has 9 races with live prediction-market odds in 2026, 30 days before Election Day (November 3). Governor: Wes Moore (D) 98%; MD-01 House: Andy Harris (R) 90%; MD-03 House: Sarah Elfreth (D) 96%.
2026 races
| Race | Favorite | Rating | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | Wes Moore (D) 98% | Safe D | $57K |
| MD-01 House | Andy Harris (R) 90% | Likely R | $91K |
| MD-02 House | Johnny Olszewski (D) 97% | Safe D | $29K |
| MD-03 House | Sarah Elfreth (D) 96% | Safe D | $55K |
| MD-04 House | Glenn Ivey (D) 99% | Safe D | $48K |
| MD-05 House | Adrian Boafo (D) 97% | Safe D | $25K |
| MD-06 House | April McClain Delaney (D) 97% | Safe D | $41K |
| MD-07 House | Kweisi Mfume (D) 97% | Safe D | $25K |
| MD-08 House | Jamie Raskin (D) 98% | Safe D | $28K |
2028 races
| Race | Favorite | Rating | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | the Democrat 91% | Safe D | $2K |
Key dates
- Election Day 2026Tue, Nov 3, 2026
How to vote in Maryland, and how it has voted → · The full election calendar →
Ballot measures
- Question 2 (2026)77% pass
- Question 3 (2026)73% pass
- Question 1 (2026)77% pass
The chance each measure passes, from Kalshi.
Campaign money in 2026
- House candidates raised
- $64.3M
- Outside spending
- $13.0M
Every federal candidate running in Maryland, from FEC filings. Each race page breaks it down by candidate.
Candidates
Other Maryland markets
- Maryland Governor Election: Turnout1.85M-2M 32%
- Maryland Governor Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 30-35% 28%
- Maryland Governor margin of victoryMoore, 18+ pts 91%
- Maryland State Senate District 2 winner?Paul Corderman 92%
- Will Maryland award the Key Bridge main span contract by summer 2027?55%
- Maryland's 1st District margin of victoryHarris, 2+ pts 84%
- Maryland's 6th District margin of victoryDelaney, 3+ pts 97%
- Maryland Governor election: Wes Moore vote percentAt least 58% 91%
- Maryland's 2nd District margin of victoryOlszewski, 14+ pts 93%
- Which ballot measures will pass in Maryland?Question 2 77%
- Maryland Attorney General winner?Anthony G. Brown 98%
- Maryland Governor election: Dan Cox vote percentAt least 26% 90%
Odds from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes; campaign money from the FEC, daily. Research, not betting advice.
