KS
Kansas elections
Kansas has 6 races with live prediction-market odds in 2026, 30 days before Election Day (November 3). Senate: Roger Marshall (R) 67%; Governor: Ty Masterson (R) 74%; KS-02 House: Derek Schmidt (R) 88%.
2026 races
| Race | Favorite | Rating | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | Roger Marshall (R) 67% | Lean R | $3.4M |
| Governor | Ty Masterson (R) 74% | Lean R | $196K |
| KS-01 House | Tracey Mann (R) 95% | Safe R | $23K |
| KS-02 House | Derek Schmidt (R) 88% | Likely R | $24K |
| KS-03 House | Sharice Davids (D) 96% | Safe D | $49K |
| KS-04 House | Ron Estes (R) 95% | Safe R | $86K |
2028 races
| Race | Favorite | Rating | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | the Republican 67% | Lean R | $3K |
Key dates
- Election Day 2026Tue, Nov 3, 2026
How to vote in Kansas, and how it has voted → · The full election calendar →
Ballot measures
- Citizenship Requirement for Voting Amendment (2026)93% pass
- Banning noncitizens from voting (2026)94% pass
The chance each measure passes, from Kalshi and Polymarket.
Campaign money in 2026
- Senate candidates raised
- $9.5M
- House candidates raised
- $9.8M
- Outside spending
- $9.8M
Every federal candidate running in Kansas, from FEC filings. Each race page breaks it down by candidate.
Candidates
Other Kansas markets
- Kansas Governor-Senate comboTy Masterson and Roger Marshall win 57%
- Kansas Senate margin of victoryMarshall, 3+ pts 45%
- Kansas Attorney General winner?Kris Kobach 50%
- Kansas Senate and Governor ComboReps sweep 57%
- Kansas Senate Election Margin of VictoryMarshall 0-5% 35%
- Kansas Senate Election: Turnout1.1M-1.2M 50%
- Closer Senate Race: Georgia or Kansas?19%
- Kansas Senate General Election: voter turnoutAbove 1.00M 57%
- Kansas Governor election: Cindy Holscher vote percentAt least 38% 97%
- Kansas Governor Election Margin of VictoryMasterson 9-12% 21%
- Kansas Senate election: Adam Hamilton vote percentAt least 40% 98%
- Larger margin of victory: Kansas or Nebraska Senate?Nebraska US Senate 55%
Odds from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes; campaign money from the FEC, daily. Research, not betting advice.
