WI
Wisconsin elections
Wisconsin has 9 races with live prediction-market odds in 2026, 30 days before Election Day (November 3). Governor: David Crowley (D) 81%; WI-01 House: Bryan Steil (R) 64%; WI-03 House: Rebecca Cooke (D) 73%.
2026 races
| Race | Favorite | Rating | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | David Crowley (D) 81% | Likely D | $2.0M |
| WI-01 House | Bryan Steil (R) 64% | Lean R | $45K |
| WI-02 House | Mark Pocan (D) 100% | Safe D | $105K |
| WI-03 House | Rebecca Cooke (D) 73% | Lean D | $146K |
| WI-04 House | Gwen Moore (D) 99% | Safe D | $38K |
| WI-05 House | Scott Fitzgerald (R) 96% | Safe R | $68K |
| WI-06 House | Glenn Grothman (R) 94% | Safe R | $79K |
| WI-07 House | Michael Alfonso (R) 94% | Safe R | $62K |
| WI-08 House | Tony Wied (R) 88% | Likely R | $46K |
2028 races
| Race | Favorite | Rating | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | the Democrat 61% | Lean D | $9K |
Key dates
- Election Day 2026Tue, Nov 3, 2026
How to vote in Wisconsin, and how it has voted → · The full election calendar →
Ballot measures
- Prohibit Government Closure of Places of Worship During Emergencies Amendment (2026)83% pass
- Prohibit Partial Veto to Increase Tax or Fee Amendment (2026)61% pass
- Prohibit Government Discrimination or Preferential Treatment Amendment (2026)70% pass
The chance each measure passes, from Kalshi.
Campaign money in 2026
- House candidates raised
- $36.5M
- Outside spending
- $11.2M
Every federal candidate running in Wisconsin, from FEC filings. Each race page breaks it down by candidate.
Candidates
Other Wisconsin markets
- Wisconsin 02 House General Election: voter turnoutAbove 300K 57%
- Wisconsin Governor Election: Turnout2.6M-2.8M 36%
- How many House seats will the Democrats win in Wisconsin?3 45%
- Wisconsin Governor margin of victoryCrowley, 1+ pts 74%
- Wisconsin Governor election: David Crowley vote percentAt least 44% 98%
- Wisconsin Attorney General winner?Josh Kaul 83%
- Wisconsin Governor margin of victoryTiffany, 2+ pts 14%
- Wisconsin Governor Election Margin of VictoryCrowley 3-6% 28%
- Wisconsin Governor election: Tom Tiffany vote percentAt least 38% 98%
- Wisconsin State Treasurer winner?Yee Leng Xiong 92%
- Dane County, Wisconsin: David Crowley vote percentAt least 74% 98%
- Which ballot measures will pass in Wisconsin?Prohibit Government Closure of Places of Worship During Emergencies Amendment 83%
Odds from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes; campaign money from the FEC, daily. Research, not betting advice.
