NC
North Carolina elections
North Carolina has 15 races with live prediction-market odds in 2026, 30 days before Election Day (November 3). Senate: Roy Cooper (D) 96%; NC-01 House: Don Davis (D) 62%; NC-11 House: Jamie Ager (D) 71%.
2026 races
| Race | Favorite | Rating | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | Roy Cooper (D) 96% | Safe D | $2.7M |
| NC-01 House | Don Davis (D) 62% | Lean D | $101K |
| NC-02 House | Deborah Ross (D) 99% | Safe D | $36K |
| NC-03 House | Greg Murphy (R) 85% | Likely R | $26K |
| NC-04 House | Valerie Foushee (D) 96% | Safe D | $52K |
| NC-05 House | Virginia Foxx (R) 87% | Likely R | $51K |
| NC-06 House | Addison McDowell (R) 91% | Safe R | $58K |
| NC-07 House | David Rouzer (R) 83% | Likely R | $37K |
| NC-08 House | Mark Harris (R) 96% | Safe R | $40K |
| NC-09 House | Richard Hudson (R) 78% | Likely R | $59K |
| NC-10 House | Pat Harrigan (R) 94% | Safe R | $14K |
| NC-11 House | Jamie Ager (D) 71% | Lean D | $163K |
| NC-12 House | Alma Adams (D) 98% | Safe D | $69K |
| NC-13 House | Brad Knott (R) 85% | Likely R | $14K |
| NC-14 House | Tim Moore (R) 88% | Likely R | $41K |
2028 races
Key dates
- Election Day 2026Tue, Nov 3, 2026
How to vote in North Carolina, and how it has voted → · The full election calendar →
Ballot measures
- Property Tax Levy Limit Amendment (2026)70% pass
- Income Tax Rate Cap Amendment (2026)75% pass
- Voter Identification Amendment (2026)84% pass
The chance each measure passes, from Kalshi.
Campaign money in 2026
- Senate candidates raised
- $51.9M
- House candidates raised
- $43.5M
- Outside spending
- $57.2M
Every federal candidate running in North Carolina, from FEC filings. Each race page breaks it down by candidate.
Candidates
- Deborah Ross D
- Alma Adams D
- Mark Harris R
- Valerie Foushee D
- Roy Cooper D
- Pat Harrigan R
- Addison McDowell R
- Tim Moore R
- Virginia Foxx R
- Greg Murphy R
- Brad Knott R
- David Rouzer R
- Richard Hudson R
- Jamie Ager D
- Don Davis D
- Laurie Buckhout R
- Jennifer Balkcom R
- Richard Ojeda D
- Kim Hardy D
- Paul Barringer D
- Raymond Smith Jr. D
- Chuck Hubbard D
- LaKesha Womack D
- Cyril Jefferson D
- Ashley Bell D
- Michael Whatley R
- Max Ganorkar R
- Colby Watson D
- Jack Codiga R
- Gene Douglass R
- Eugene Douglass R
Other North Carolina markets
- North Carolina Senate margin of victoryCooper, 1+ pts 95%
- Larger margin of victory: Georgia or North Carolina Senate?North Carolina Senate 53%
- North Carolina 02 House General Election: voter turnoutAbove 290K 50%
- North Carolina Senate Election: Turnout4.1M-4.3M 32%
- North Carolina Senate Election Margin of VictoryCooper 9-12% 23%
- North Carolina Senate General Election: voter turnoutAbove 3.80M 81%
- North Carolina Senate election: Michael Whatley vote percentAt least 40% 94%
- North Carolina State House winner?Republican party 67%
- How many House seats will the Democrats win in North Carolina?5 47%
- Which ballot measures will pass in North Carolina?Voter Identification Amendment 84%
- North Carolina Senate election: Roy Cooper vote percentAt least 46% 98%
- North Carolina Senate margin of victoryWhatley, 1+ pts 4%
Odds from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes; campaign money from the FEC, daily. Research, not betting advice.
