IA
Iowa elections
Iowa has 6 races with live prediction-market odds in 2026, 30 days before Election Day (November 3). Senate: Ashley Hinson (R) 57%; Governor: Rob Sand (D) 86%; IA-02 House: Lindsay James (D) 54%. 2 are rated a toss-up.
2026 races
| Race | Favorite | Rating | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | Ashley Hinson (R) 57% | Toss-up | $4.8M |
| Governor | Rob Sand (D) 86% | Likely D | $965K |
| IA-01 House | Christina Bohannan (D) 84% | Likely D | $273K |
| IA-02 House | Lindsay James (D) 54% | Toss-up | $60K |
| IA-03 House | Sarah Trone Garriott (D) 77% | Likely D | $81K |
| IA-04 House | Chris McGowan (R) 95% | Safe R | $62K |
2028 races
| Race | Favorite | Rating | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | the Republican 63% | Lean R | $2K |
Key dates
- Election Day 2026Tue, Nov 3, 2026
How to vote in Iowa, and how it has voted → · The full election calendar →
Ballot measures
The chance each measure passes, from Kalshi.
Campaign money in 2026
- Senate candidates raised
- $21.0M
- House candidates raised
- $43.5M
- Outside spending
- $76.5M
Every federal candidate running in Iowa, from FEC filings. Each race page breaks it down by candidate.
Candidates
Other Iowa markets
- Iowa Senate margin of victoryTurek, 2+ pts 36%
- Iowa Senate margin of victoryHinson, 2+ pts 42%
- Iowa Governor margin of victorySand, 3+ pts 72%
- Iowa Governor Election Margin of VictorySand 6-9% 25%
- Iowa Governor-Senate comboRob Sand and Josh Turek win 45%
- Iowa Senate election: Ashley Hinson vote percentAt least 44% 97%
- Iowa Attorney General Election WinnerBrenna Bird (R) 53%
- Iowa's 1st District margin of victoryBohannan, 3+ pts 74%
- Iowa Senate General Election: voter turnoutAbove 1.22M 78%
- Iowa Attorney General winner?Brenna Bird 53%
- Iowa Senate and Governor ComboDems sweep 42%
- Iowa Senate winner? (Person)Ashley Hinson 57%
Odds from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes; campaign money from the FEC, daily. Research, not betting advice.
