MI
Michigan elections
Michigan has 15 races with live prediction-market odds in 2026, 30 days before Election Day (November 3). Senate: Abdul El-Sayed (D) 72%; Governor: Jocelyn Benson (D) 94%; MI-04 House: Bill Huizenga (R) 52%. 2 are rated a toss-up.
2026 races
| Race | Favorite | Rating | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 72% | Lean D | $6.3M |
| Governor | Jocelyn Benson (D) 94% | Safe D | $613K |
| MI-01 House | Jack Bergman (R) 90% | Safe R | $47K |
| MI-02 House | John Moolenaar (R) 99% | Safe R | $64K |
| MI-03 House | Hillary Scholten (D) 97% | Safe D | $51K |
| MI-04 House | Bill Huizenga (R) 52% | Toss-up | $29K |
| MI-05 House | Tim Walberg (R) 93% | Safe R | $41K |
| MI-06 House | Debbie Dingell (D) 98% | Safe D | $55K |
| MI-07 House | William Lawrence (D) 59% | Toss-up | $117K |
| MI-08 House | Kristen McDonald Rivet (D) 94% | Safe D | $30K |
| MI-09 House | Lisa McClain (R) 96% | Safe R | $44K |
| MI-10 House | Christina Hines (D) 66% | Lean D | $32K |
| MI-11 House | Jeremy Moss (D) 97% | Safe D | $84K |
| MI-12 House | Rashida Tlaib (D) 99% | Safe D | $42K |
| MI-13 House | Donavan McKinney (D) 99% | Safe D | $51K |
Key dates
- Election Day 2026Tue, Nov 3, 2026
How to vote in Michigan, and how it has voted → · The full election calendar →
Ballot measures
The chance each measure passes, from Kalshi and Polymarket.
Campaign money in 2026
- Senate candidates raised
- $49.4M
- House candidates raised
- $64.5M
- Outside spending
- $180.0M
Every federal candidate running in Michigan, from FEC filings. Each race page breaks it down by candidate.
Candidates
- Abdul El-Sayed D
- Donavan McKinney D
- Rashida Tlaib D
- John Moolenaar R
- Debbie Dingell D
- Jeremy Moss D
- Hillary Scholten D
- Lisa McClain R
- Kristen McDonald Rivet D
- Jocelyn Benson D
- Tim Walberg R
- Jack Bergman R
- Christina Hines D
- William Lawrence D
- Bill Huizenga R
- Sean McCann D
- Tom Barrett R
- Mike Bouchard R
- Michael Bouchard Jr. R
- Mike Rogers R
- Callie Barr D
- Christian Vukasovich D
- John James R
- Thomas J. Smith R
- Ray Pooley D
- Terri DeBoer R
- Ethan Baker R
- Heather Smiley R
- Benjamin Ambrose D
- James Hooper R
- T.P. Nykoriak R
- Mike Duggan I
Other Michigan markets
- Michigan Senate winner? (Person)Abdul El-Sayed 73%
- Michigan Senate margin of victorySayed, 1+ pts 67%
- Michigan Attorney General winner?Eli Savit 77%
- How many House seats will the Democrats win in Michigan?9 32%
- Michigan Senate election: Abdul El-Sayed vote percentAt least 44% 96%
- Michigan Governor-Senate comboJocelyn Benson and Abdul El-Sayed win 75%
- Michigan Senate: which counties will Abdul El-Sayed win?Oakland 94%
- Senate Three-Way Combo: Texas, Michigan, MaineDems sweep 45%
- Michigan Attorney General Election WinnerEli Savit (D) 77%
- Michigan Governor Election Margin of VictoryBenson 6-9% 20%
- Michigan Senate Election: Turnout4.8M-5M 25%
- Michigan Senate and Governor ComboDems sweep 73%
Odds from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes; campaign money from the FEC, daily. Research, not betting advice.
