TN
Tennessee elections
Tennessee has 11 races with live prediction-market odds in 2026, 30 days before Election Day (November 3). Senate: Bill Hagerty (R) 93%; Governor: Marsha Blackburn (R) 95%; TN-09 House: Brent Taylor (R) 86%.
2026 races
| Race | Favorite | Rating | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | Bill Hagerty (R) 93% | Safe R | $129K |
| Governor | Marsha Blackburn (R) 95% | Safe R | $83K |
| TN-01 House | Diana Harshbarger (R) 98% | Safe R | $27K |
| TN-02 House | Tim Burchett (R) 95% | Safe R | $36K |
| TN-03 House | Chuck Fleischmann (R) 96% | Safe R | $59K |
| TN-04 House | Scott DesJarlais (R) 98% | Safe R | $91K |
| TN-05 House | Charlie Hatcher (R) 92% | Safe R | $108K |
| TN-06 House | Johnny Garrett (R) 95% | Safe R | $22K |
| TN-07 House | Matt Van Epps (R) 97% | Safe R | $30K |
| TN-08 House | David Kustoff (R) 96% | Safe R | $54K |
| TN-09 House | Brent Taylor (R) 86% | Likely R | $68K |
Key dates
- Election Day 2026Tue, Nov 3, 2026
How to vote in Tennessee, and how it has voted → · The full election calendar →
Ballot measures
- Amendment 2 (2026)85% pass
- Amendment 3 (2026)89% pass
- Amendment 1 (2026)90% pass
The chance each measure passes, from Kalshi.
Campaign money in 2026
- Senate candidates raised
- $7.2M
- House candidates raised
- $28.8M
- Outside spending
- $7.7M
Every federal candidate running in Tennessee, from FEC filings. Each race page breaks it down by candidate.
Candidates
- Scott DesJarlais R
- Diana Harshbarger R
- Matt Van Epps R
- David Kustoff R
- Chuck Fleischmann R
- Tim Burchett R
- Marsha Blackburn R
- Johnny Garrett R
- Bill Hagerty R
- Charlie Hatcher R
- Brent Taylor R
- Justin J. Pearson D
- Chaz Molder D
- Marquita Bradshaw D
- Mike Croley D
- Jerri Green D
- Michaela Barnett D
- Anna Golladay D
- Heidi Kuhn D
- Darden Copeland D
- Kristi Burke D
- Victoria Broderick D
Other Tennessee markets
- Tennessee Governor election: Marsha Blackburn vote percentAt least 52% 84%
- Tennessee Senate Election: Turnout2M-2.2M 39%
- Tennessee Senate election: Bill Hagerty vote percentAt least 56% 94%
- Tennessee Senate margin of victoryHagerty, 16+ pts 73%
- Tennessee Governor election: Jerri Green vote percentAt least 30% 98%
- Tennessee Governor Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 15-20% 24%
- Tennessee's 8th District margin of victoryKustoff, 25+ pts 27%
- Tennessee's 2nd District margin of victoryBurchett, 15+ pts 79%
- Tennessee Governor margin of victoryBlackburn, 9+ pts 70%
- Tennessee's 4th District margin of victoryDesJarlais, 24+ pts 31%
- Tennessee Senate Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 20-25% 27%
- Tennessee's 5th District margin of victoryMolder, 1+ pts 9%
Odds from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes; campaign money from the FEC, daily. Research, not betting advice.
