WA
Washington elections
Washington has 10 races with live prediction-market odds in 2026, 30 days before Election Day (November 3). WA-05 House: Michael Baumgartner (R) 82%; WA-03 House: Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D) 90%; WA-04 House: Amanda McKinney (R) 93%.
2026 races
| Race | Favorite | Rating | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|
| WA-01 House | Suzan DelBene (D) 98% | Safe D | $61K |
| WA-02 House | Rick Larsen (D) 97% | Safe D | $33K |
| WA-03 House | Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D) 90% | Likely D | $191K |
| WA-04 House | Amanda McKinney (R) 93% | Safe R | $90K |
| WA-05 House | Michael Baumgartner (R) 82% | Likely R | $109K |
| WA-06 House | Emily Randall (D) 99% | Safe D | $46K |
| WA-07 House | Pramila Jayapal (D) 98% | Safe D | $35K |
| WA-08 House | Kim Schrier (D) 99% | Safe D | $34K |
| WA-09 House | Adam Smith (D) 97% | Safe D | $74K |
| WA-10 House | Marilyn Strickland (D) 97% | Safe D | $38K |
2028 races
Key dates
- Election Day 2026Tue, Nov 3, 2026
How to vote in Washington, and how it has voted → · The full election calendar →
Ballot measures
- Initiative No. IL26-001 (2026)49% pass
- Restricting transgender school sports access (2026)41% pass
- Initiative No. IL26-638 (2026)40% pass
- Initiative No. IP26-645 (2026)20% pass
The chance each measure passes, from Kalshi and Polymarket.
Campaign money in 2026
- House candidates raised
- $31.4M
- Outside spending
- $7.9M
Every federal candidate running in Washington, from FEC filings. Each race page breaks it down by candidate.
Candidates
- Kim Schrier D
- Emily Randall D
- Pramila Jayapal D
- Suzan DelBene D
- Adam Smith D
- Rick Larsen D
- Marilyn Strickland D
- Amanda McKinney R
- Marie Gluesenkamp Perez D
- Michael Baumgartner R
- Carmela Conroy D
- John Braun R
- John Duresky D
- Chris D. Chung R
- Edwin H. Feller R
- Doug Basler R
- Mary Silva R
- Nirav Sheth R
- Teresa Fox R
- Spencer Meline R
- Kshama Sawant I
Other Washington markets
- USS George Washington departs CENTCOM by...?December 31 74%
- Washington's 3rd District margin of victoryPerez, 1+ pts 46%
- Washington's 5th District margin of victoryBaumgartner, 2+ pts 73%
- Washington County, Ohio: Jon Husted vote percentAt least 56% 97%
- Which ballot measures will pass in Washington?Initiative No. IL26-001 49%
- Washington 03 House General Election: voter turnoutAbove 320K 65%
- Washington passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?41%
- Washington's 5th District margin of victory16%
- Washington's 7th District margin of victoryJayapal, 65+ pts 96%
- Washington's 8th District margin of victorySchrier, 5+ pts 93%
- Washington's 3rd District margin of victoryBraun, 2+ pts 6%
- Washington 09 House General Election: voter turnoutAbove 230K 42%
Odds from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes; campaign money from the FEC, daily. Research, not betting advice.
