PA
Pennsylvania elections
Pennsylvania has 18 races with live prediction-market odds in 2026, 30 days before Election Day (November 3). Governor: Josh Shapiro (D) 97%; PA-01 House: Brian Fitzpatrick (R) 65%; PA-08 House: Paige Cognetti (D) 69%.
2026 races
| Race | Favorite | Rating | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | Josh Shapiro (D) 97% | Safe D | $567K |
| PA-01 House | Brian Fitzpatrick (R) 65% | Lean R | $220K |
| PA-02 House | Brendan Boyle (D) 98% | Safe D | $40K |
| PA-03 House | Chris Rabb (D) 98% | Safe D | $34K |
| PA-04 House | Madeleine Dean (D) 97% | Safe D | $25K |
| PA-05 House | Mary Gay Scanlon (D) 98% | Safe D | $39K |
| PA-06 House | Chrissy Houlahan (D) 97% | Safe D | $46K |
| PA-07 House | Bob Brooks (D) 86% | Likely D | $360K |
| PA-08 House | Paige Cognetti (D) 69% | Lean D | $154K |
| PA-09 House | Dan Meuser (R) 97% | Safe R | $25K |
| PA-10 House | Janelle Stelson (D) 80% | Likely D | $35K |
| PA-11 House | Lloyd Smucker (R) 95% | Safe R | $38K |
| PA-12 House | Summer Lee (D) 98% | Safe D | $85K |
| PA-13 House | John Joyce (R) 96% | Safe R | $20K |
| PA-14 House | Guy Reschenthaler (R) 96% | Safe R | $30K |
| PA-15 House | Glenn Thompson (R) 96% | Safe R | $40K |
| PA-16 House | Mike Kelly (R) 93% | Safe R | $52K |
| PA-17 House | Chris Deluzio (D) 97% | Safe D | $35K |
2028 races
| Race | Favorite | Rating | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | the Democrat 67% | Lean D | $8K |
Key dates
- Election Day 2026Tue, Nov 3, 2026
How to vote in Pennsylvania, and how it has voted → · The full election calendar →
Campaign money in 2026
- House candidates raised
- $71.0M
- Outside spending
- $25.6M
Every federal candidate running in Pennsylvania, from FEC filings. Each race page breaks it down by candidate.
Candidates
- Josh Shapiro D
- Mike Kelly R
- Chris Rabb D
- Mary Gay Scanlon D
- Brendan Boyle D
- Summer Lee D
- Madeleine Dean D
- Dan Meuser R
- Chrissy Houlahan D
- Chris Deluzio D
- Guy Reschenthaler R
- John Joyce R
- Glenn Thompson R
- Lloyd Smucker R
- Bob Brooks D
- Janelle Stelson D
- Paige Cognetti D
- Brian Fitzpatrick R
- Bob Harvie D
- Rob Bresnahan R
- Scott Perry R
- Ryan Mackenzie R
- John Fetterman I
- Justin Wagner D
- Nancy Mannion D
- Ray Bilger D
- Beth Farnham D
- Alan Bradstock D
- Tony Guy R
- Marty Young R
- Rachel Wallace D
- Stacy Garrity R
- Aurora Stuski R
- James Hayes R
- Jessica Arriaga R
- Nicholas Manganaro R
Other Pennsylvania markets
- Pennsylvania Governor Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 25-30% 31%
- How many House seats will the Democrats win in Pennsylvania?11 41%
- Pennsylvania Governor election: Stacy Garrity vote percentAt least 34% 59%
- Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania: Josh Shapiro vote percentAt least 80% 97%
- Pennsylvania Governor election: Josh Shapiro vote percentAt least 50% 98%
- Pennsylvania 03 House General Election: voter turnoutAbove 250K 49%
- How many House seats will Democrats win in Pennsylvania?11 36%
- Pennsylvania State Senate winner?Republican party 57%
- Pennsylvania Governor Election: Turnout5M-5.5M 48%
- Pennsylvania State Senate Winner 2026?Republican Party 56%
- Pennsylvania's 8th District margin of victoryCognetti, 2+ pts 57%
- Pennsylvania Democratic Senate nominee? (2028)Summer Lee 37%
Odds from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes; campaign money from the FEC, daily. Research, not betting advice.
