VA
Virginia elections
Virginia has 12 races with live prediction-market odds in 2026, 30 days before Election Day (November 3). Senate: Mark Warner (D) 98%; VA-01 House: Rob Wittman (R) 51%; VA-05 House: John McGuire (R) 79%. 1 is rated a toss-up.
2026 races
| Race | Favorite | Rating | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | Mark Warner (D) 98% | Safe D | $55K |
| VA-01 House | Rob Wittman (R) 51% | Toss-up | $214K |
| VA-02 House | Elaine Luria (D) 82% | Likely D | $187K |
| VA-03 House | Bobby Scott (D) 97% | Safe D | $70K |
| VA-04 House | Jennifer McClellan (D) 98% | Safe D | $52K |
| VA-05 House | John McGuire (R) 79% | Likely R | $195K |
| VA-06 House | Ben Cline (R) 92% | Safe R | $175K |
| VA-07 House | Eugene Vindman (D) 96% | Safe D | $44K |
| VA-08 House | Don Beyer (D) 98% | Safe D | $55K |
| VA-09 House | Morgan Griffith (R) 97% | Safe R | $75K |
| VA-10 House | Suhas Subramanyam (D) 96% | Safe D | $13K |
| VA-11 House | James Walkinshaw (D) 99% | Safe D | $33K |
Key dates
- Election Day 2026Tue, Nov 3, 2026
How to vote in Virginia, and how it has voted → · The full election calendar →
Ballot measures
- Question 3 (2026)96% pass
- Abortion protection amendment (2026)91% pass
- West Virginia passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting (2026)91% pass
- Question 2 (2026)95% pass
The chance each measure passes, from Kalshi and Polymarket.
Campaign money in 2026
- Senate candidates raised
- $18.8M
- House candidates raised
- $59.1M
- Outside spending
- $14.1M
Every federal candidate running in Virginia, from FEC filings. Each race page breaks it down by candidate.
Candidates
- James Walkinshaw D
- Mark Warner D
- Don Beyer D
- Jennifer McClellan D
- Bobby Scott D
- Morgan Griffith R
- Suhas Subramanyam D
- Eugene Vindman D
- Ben Cline R
- Elaine Luria D
- John McGuire R
- Rob Wittman R
- Shannon Taylor D
- Tom Perriello D
- Jen Kiggans R
- Beth Macy D
- Doug Ollivant R
- Dave Beckwith R
- Joy Powers D
- Edwin Rivera R
- Robert Murray R
- Tony Sabio R
- Bert Mizusawa R
- Arthur Purves R
Other Virginia markets
- Virginia Senate Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 21%+ 49%
- West Virginia passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?91%
- New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?1%
- How many House seats will the Democrats win in Virginia?7 36%
- Virginia Senate Election: Turnout3.75M-4M 31%
- Will West Virginia require voters to be U.S. and West Virginia citizens?94%
- How many House seats will Democrats win in Virginia?7 35%
- West Virginia Senate Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 30-35% 30%
- West Virginia Senate Election: Turnout450K-500K 45%
- Virginia's 11th District margin of victoryWalkinshaw, 11+ pts 97%
- Virginia's 4th District margin of victoryMcClellan, 12+ pts 97%
- NY-25 House election: Virginia McIntyre vote percentAt least 26% 95%
Odds from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes; campaign money from the FEC, daily. Research, not betting advice.
