FL
Florida elections
Florida has 30 races with live prediction-market odds in 2026, 30 days before Election Day (November 3). Senate (special): Ashley Moody (R) 90%; Governor: Byron Donalds (R) 76%; FL-22 House: Pia Dandiya (D) 54%. 1 is rated a toss-up.
2026 races
| Race | Favorite | Rating | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate (special) | Ashley Moody (R) 90% | Likely R | $1.3M |
| Governor | Byron Donalds (R) 76% | Likely R | $2.6M |
| FL-01 House | Jimmy Patronis (R) 97% | Safe R | $123K |
| FL-02 House | Austin Rogers (R) 92% | Safe R | $27K |
| FL-03 House | Kat Cammack (R) 94% | Safe R | $36K |
| FL-04 House | Aaron Bean (R) 86% | Likely R | $38K |
| FL-05 House | John Rutherford (R) 92% | Safe R | $29K |
| FL-06 House | Randy Fine (R) 94% | Safe R | $31K |
| FL-07 House | Ryan Elijah (R) 67% | Lean R | $65K |
| FL-08 House | Mike Haridopolos (R) 94% | Safe R | $41K |
| FL-09 House | Dan Green (R) 71% | Lean R | $86K |
| FL-10 House | Maxwell Frost (D) 97% | Safe D | $61K |
| FL-11 House | Joe Strada (R) 88% | Likely R | $30K |
| FL-12 House | Gus Bilirakis (R) 87% | Likely R | $72K |
| FL-13 House | Anna Paulina Luna (R) 74% | Lean R | $42K |
| FL-14 House | Kathy Castor (D) 65% | Lean D | $334K |
| FL-15 House | Laurel Lee (R) 92% | Safe R | $48K |
| FL-16 House | Sydney Gruters (R) 84% | Likely R | $43K |
| FL-17 House | Greg Steube (R) 95% | Safe R | $25K |
| FL-18 House | Scott Franklin (R) 92% | Safe R | $43K |
| FL-19 House | Jim Schwartzel (R) 94% | Safe R | $27K |
| FL-20 House | Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D) 98% | Safe D | $42K |
| FL-21 House | Brian Mast (R) 90% | Safe R | $22K |
| FL-22 House | Pia Dandiya (D) 54% | Toss-up | $167K |
| FL-23 House | Lois Frankel (D) 96% | Safe D | $43K |
| FL-24 House | Oliver Gilbert (D) 98% | Safe D | $65K |
| FL-25 House | Jared Moskowitz (D) 75% | Lean D | $273K |
| FL-26 House | Mario Díaz-Balart (R) 87% | Likely R | $92K |
| FL-27 House | María Elvira Salazar (R) 62% | Lean R | $106K |
| FL-28 House | Carlos Giménez (R) 94% | Safe R | $65K |
2028 races
| Race | Favorite | Rating | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | the Republican 84% | Likely R | $5K |
Key dates
- Election Day 2026Tue, Nov 3, 2026
How to vote in Florida, and how it has voted → · The full election calendar →
Ballot measures
- Amendment 3, “Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes” (2026)40% pass
- Amendment 2 (2026)66% pass
- Amendment 1 (2026)70% pass
The chance each measure passes, from Kalshi.
Campaign money in 2026
- Senate candidates raised
- $46.5M
- House candidates raised
- $152.4M
- Outside spending
- $49.6M
Every federal candidate running in Florida, from FEC filings. Each race page breaks it down by candidate.
Candidates
- Oliver Gilbert D
- Debbie Wasserman Schultz D
- Maxwell Frost D
- Jimmy Patronis R
- Lois Frankel D
- Greg Steube R
- Jim Schwartzel R
- Carlos Giménez R
- Kat Cammack R
- Mike Haridopolos R
- Randy Fine R
- John Rutherford R
- Scott Franklin R
- Laurel Lee R
- Austin Rogers R
- Brian Mast R
- Ashley Moody R
- Joe Strada R
- Mario Díaz-Balart R
- Gus Bilirakis R
- Aaron Bean R
- Sydney Gruters R
- Byron Donalds R
- Jared Moskowitz D
- Anna Paulina Luna R
- Dan Green R
- Ryan Elijah R
- Kathy Castor D
- Maria Elvira Salazar R
- Pia Dandiya D
- Casey Askar R
- Eliott Rodriguez D
- Mike Beltran R
- Bale Dalton D
- Darren Soto D
- Leela Gray D
- Scott Singer R
- David Jolly D
- Kelly Kirschner D
- LaShonda Holloway D
- Kimberly Overman D
- Nicole Locklin D
- James Pericola D
- Angie Nixon D
- James Martin D
- Amanda Green D
- Robert People D
- Curtis Gibson D
- Rachel Grage D
- Eric Yonce D
- Jennifer Jenkins D
- Seth Harp D
- Phil Ehr D
- Victor Arias D
- Matthew Montavon D
- Deborah Adeimy R
- Gay Valimont D
- Brent Andersen R
- Te Mayonna Brown R
- Mayonna Te Brown R
Other Florida markets
- Florida Senate margin of victoryMoody, 2+ pts 84%
- Will Florida’s property tax amendment pass?40%
- Florida Senate election: Ashley Moody vote percentAt least 48% 96%
- Florida Governor margin of victoryDonalds, 3+ pts 58%
- Florida Senate: which counties will Angie Nixon win?Broward 92%
- Florida 12 House General Election: voter turnoutAbove 310K 50%
- Florida Senate Election: Miami-Dade County WinnerAngie Nixon (D) 53%
- Florida Attorney General winner?James Uthmeier 76%
- Florida Attorney General Election WinnerJames Uthmeier (R) 78%
- Florida Senate Election: Turnout9M+ 32%
- Florida Governor election: Byron Donalds vote percentAt least 44% 98%
- Florida Senate Election: Broward County WinnerAngie Nixon (D) 99%
Odds from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes; campaign money from the FEC, daily. Research, not betting advice.
