NY
New York elections
New York has 27 races with live prediction-market odds in 2026, 30 days before Election Day (November 3). Governor: Kathy Hochul (D) 95%; NY-17 House: Cait Conley (D) 64%; NY-01 House: Nick LaLota (R) 81%.
2026 races
| Race | Favorite | Rating | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | Kathy Hochul (D) 95% | Safe D | $2.0M |
| NY-01 House | Nick LaLota (R) 81% | Likely R | $224K |
| NY-02 House | Andrew Garbarino (R) 86% | Likely R | $35K |
| NY-03 House | Tom Suozzi (D) 88% | Likely D | $51K |
| NY-04 House | Laura Gillen (D) 90% | Likely D | $50K |
| NY-05 House | Gregory Meeks (D) 98% | Safe D | $68K |
| NY-06 House | Grace Meng (D) 99% | Safe D | $29K |
| NY-07 House | Claire Valdez (D) 98% | Safe D | $31K |
| NY-08 House | Hakeem Jeffries (D) 98% | Safe D | $33K |
| NY-09 House | Yvette Clarke (D) 98% | Safe D | $65K |
| NY-10 House | Brad Lander (D) 99% | Safe D | $73K |
| NY-11 House | Nicole Malliotakis (R) 95% | Safe R | $63K |
| NY-12 House | Micah Lasher (D) 99% | Safe D | $35K |
| NY-13 House | Darializa Avila Chevalier (D) 98% | Safe D | $42K |
| NY-14 House | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D) 97% | Safe D | $57K |
| NY-15 House | Ritchie Torres (D) 99% | Safe D | $50K |
| NY-16 House | George Latimer (D) 97% | Safe D | $42K |
| NY-17 House | Cait Conley (D) 64% | Lean D | $250K |
| NY-18 House | Pat Ryan (D) 95% | Safe D | $62K |
| NY-19 House | Josh Riley (D) 99% | Safe D | $45K |
| NY-20 House | Paul Tonko (D) 97% | Safe D | $49K |
| NY-21 House | Anthony Constantino (R) 82% | Likely R | $146K |
| NY-22 House | John Mannion (D) 95% | Safe D | $36K |
| NY-23 House | Nick Langworthy (R) 95% | Safe R | $49K |
| NY-24 House | Claudia Tenney (R) 95% | Safe R | $39K |
| NY-25 House | Joseph Morelle (D) 97% | Safe D | $43K |
| NY-26 House | Tim Kennedy (D) 97% | Safe D | $43K |
2028 races
| Race | Favorite | Rating | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | the Democrat 93% | Safe D | $2K |
Key dates
- Election Day 2026Tue, Nov 3, 2026
How to vote in New York, and how it has voted → · The full election calendar →
Campaign money in 2026
- House candidates raised
- $205.8M
- Outside spending
- $73.0M
Every federal candidate running in New York, from FEC filings. Each race page breaks it down by candidate.
Candidates
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez D
- Brad Lander D
- Grace Meng D
- Micah Lasher D
- Josh Riley D
- Ritchie Torres D
- Gregory Meeks D
- Claire Valdez D
- Yvette Clarke D
- Hakeem Jeffries D
- Darializa Avila Chevalier D
- Joseph Morelle D
- Paul Tonko D
- Tim Kennedy D
- George Latimer D
- Kathy Hochul D
- Claudia Tenney R
- Nick Langworthy R
- John Mannion D
- Nicole Malliotakis R
- Pat Ryan D
- Laura Gillen D
- Tom Suozzi D
- Andrew Garbarino R
- Anthony Constantino R
- Nick LaLota R
- Cait Conley D
- Mike Lawler R
- Chris Gallant D
- Blake Gendebien D
- Patrick Halpin D
- Mike LiPetri R
- Jeanine Driscoll R
- Jacqueline Auringer R
- Michael DeCillis D
- Kailee Buller R
- Aaron Gies D
- Alissa Ellman D
- Bruce Blakeman R
- Joseph Cinquemani R
- Dennis Hannon R
- Diamant Hysenaj R
- Ralph Ambrosio R
- Virginia McIntyre R
- Manual "Jomo" Williams R
- Jomo Williams R
- Lewis Mizrahi R
- Joel Anabilah-Azumah R
- Melvin Rivera R
- George Marsh R
- Stylo Sapaskis R
- Peter Oberacker R
- Caroline Shinkle R
- Joseph Chou R
- Jennifer Moore R
Other New York markets
- How high will gas prices in New York get this year?Above $4.80 69%
- New York Democratic Senate nominee in 2028?Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 52%
- New York's 19th District margin of victoryRiley, 3+ pts 95%
- Will Mamdani endorse outside of New York?36%
- New York Governor Election: Nassau County WinnerBruce Blakeman (R) 57%
- New York Governor margin of victoryHochul, 4+ pts 95%
- New York's 1st District margin of victoryLaLota, 3+ pts 68%
- New York Governor Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 15-20% 31%
- New York Governor: which counties will Kathy Hochul win?Schenectady 95%
- New York Attorney General winner?Letitia James 96%
- New York City mayoral election winner?Zohran Mamdani 79%
- New York's 3rd District margin of victorySuozzi, 2+ pts 74%
Odds from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes; campaign money from the FEC, daily. Research, not betting advice.
